Mini Polar Bear Drops

133 runs so far. No bear.

2574 cc's though. Can't complain too much. Other than being bored out of my mind with the quest.

grats .......... that's what I'm talkin bout willis

I made 46 runs so far, and no MPB. I will be trying until WIntersday final. If I wont get it to cheer me up I'll open all of my 100 Gifts from Nicholas i keep for special moment.

110 runs sofar since the event strated. 9 stacks of shards; but still no MPB. Tomorrow i'll give it another go.

4 stacks of shards now, about...80ish runs...i keep tellin myself that I'll get one lol...someone stop me

I'm up to around 70 runs or so....5 stacks of shards...no luck so far but theres plenty of time left until the finale

200 runs using 2 rather small GW windows on my secondary monitor while I'm working on my primary. Of course, no bear, but the 14 stacks of shards alone are going to be worth the extremely effortless semi-afk farming, not to mention the 1,000 consumables.

Did you seriously get that polar bear on your 53th run?

extreme luck.
the person that does 353 runs has the same drop rate as the person that does 17 runs.
it's all luck.

Well, I hope I get as lucky as he did, if not, luckier.

almost at 6 stacks of shards now, no bear . I just want one to have. I won't sell it if I get one, why can't anet let me see those wonderful gold letters pop out of the chest?

Most of the people that got one last year got one by 50 runs.

Most of the people that did 500-1000 runs never got one.

You can infer that the drop chance is tiny, that the vast majority of players do a small number of runs and that only a few players do a large number of runs. In short, it's all luck.

I saw the thread from last year and there seemed to be a lot more drops. Did the drop rate decrease?

I'd bet that there are fewer people farming it for two reasons:

- We now know that the drop rate is terrible
- Fewer players than there were last year.

That would explain the observation.

If my in-game social circle is the least bit representative, Martin is right. Last year, practically everyone on my guild and friends list was stubbornly trying to beat the odds and get one. This year, I'm the only one.

I farmed last year, over 500 runs. I would do it again if I had the time. Close to 100 runs now, more than 7 stacks of shards. Still no bear.

I've probably done the run around 100 times and no bear but I don't mind it really, I like all the candy canes you get. Those will come in handy for those fail PuGs for FoWSC lol.

I can't say that I don't mind not getting one, cause I really want one. But all the Wintersday treats do give a buffer to make not getting one a bit easier. Haven't figured out if I want to sell the shards or trade for gifts.

Well, I surely am farming less since I got one last year. Sold for 1600e which good part was stolen when I got hacked

How many runs did it take you last year?